Description

This analysis provides a forecast of HBAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.037317 0.042260 0.047746 0.054311 0.061984 0.070703 0.081416
2024-10-27 0.028816 0.035149 0.042836 0.052953 0.066058 0.082658 0.105597
2024-11-03 0.025037 0.032143 0.041327 0.054265 0.072347 0.097222 0.134922
2024-11-10 0.022468 0.030031 0.040305 0.055603 0.078373 0.111965 0.167157
2024-11-17 0.020118 0.027782 0.038623 0.055525 0.082054 0.123621 0.196955
2024-11-24 0.018046 0.025612 0.036687 0.054645 0.084164 0.132945 0.224724
2024-12-01 0.016660 0.024253 0.035731 0.055047 0.088236 0.146008 0.261886
2024-12-08 0.015420 0.022961 0.034691 0.055108 0.091641 0.158380 0.300625
2024-12-15 0.014436 0.021953 0.033966 0.055550 0.095706 0.172594 0.346640
2024-12-22 0.013097 0.020243 0.031904 0.053385 0.094601 0.176544 0.371367
2024-12-29 0.012730 0.020087 0.032416 0.055870 0.102710 0.200577 0.449113
2025-01-05 0.011623 0.018588 0.030463 0.053536 0.100858 0.203085 0.474653
2025-01-12 0.010777 0.017523 0.029275 0.052720 0.102449 0.214556 0.530308
2025-01-19 0.009921 0.016381 0.027861 0.051337 0.102735 0.223422 0.583262
2025-01-26 0.009509 0.015986 0.027772 0.052598 0.109069 0.248447 0.694607
2025-02-02 0.009137 0.015627 0.027707 0.053887 0.115705 0.276003 0.827415
2025-02-09 0.008643 0.014997 0.027051 0.053811 0.119058 0.295660 0.943205
2025-02-16 0.008114 0.014256 0.026102 0.052964 0.120338 0.309840 1.046354
2025-02-23 0.007758 0.013818 0.025721 0.053351 0.124879 0.334991 1.208302
2025-03-02 0.007401 0.013348 0.025227 0.053409 0.128565 0.358631 1.379197
2025-03-09 0.007104 0.012976 0.024905 0.053835 0.133361 0.387427 1.594677
2025-03-16 0.006617 0.012185 0.023619 0.051750 0.130627 0.389828 1.679754
2025-03-23 0.006533 0.012209 0.024101 0.054143 0.141546 0.444447 2.092072